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Within each distance band from 500 to 2,000 miles, routes with more carriers have higher fares per mile

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Within each distance band from 500 to 2,000 miles, routes with more carriers have higher fares per mile
Average fare per mile by number of carriers on the route, 2024 Q3. Routes with one carrier are 735 of 12,179 routes and carry 3.3% of the sampled passengers
Data through 2024 Q3
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The chart keeps only routes with enough sampled tickets. Among them, more airlines go with higher fares per mile in most distance bands; only distance is held fixed, so this cannot be read as the effect of competition.

What this shows: The chart plots Monopoly, Duopoly and 3+ carriers on a vertical axis of Fare per mile ($).

Conditions and method

Status: descriptive (a pattern in the data, not a causal estimate).

In 2024 Q3, routes with one carrier average 603 sampled passengers a route against 1,157 on routes with three or more carriers. The comparison holds the distance band fixed and nothing else. It does not hold fixed how busy a route is, which airlines fly it or how many of its passengers connect, and it covers one quarter.

Each bar is the passenger-weighted mean fare per mile of the routes in one distance band and one carrier-count group. A route is a directional airport pair in the DB1B ticket sample, connecting itineraries included, with at least 100 sampled passengers in the quarter; a route with one carrier is one on which a single airline sold all the sampled tickets, not a legal monopoly.

How these numbers are made

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